Spectrum 77
0x0781872fe78deb6ad8147e482952b4a5461ec4ff · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2024-11
Realized PnL
$8,216
Months in profit
15 / 23
Win rate (events)
81%
ROI per market
11.1%
Avg stake
$145
Median hold
34.7 d
Volume
$876,258
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 1000 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2026-06-20); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
other 441 politics 170 esports 166 geopolitics 80 sports 53 culture 49
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8m ago | Spectrum | SELL | Will "NAZA" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.09 | $1 | geopolitics |
| 78m ago | Spectrum | SELL | Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? | No | 0.97 | $47 | politics |
| 3h ago | Spectrum | BUY | Will Javier Calvo be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.86 | $13 | geopolitics |
| 4h ago | Spectrum | BUY | Will Sandra Hüller be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.28 | $23 | geopolitics |
| 5h ago | Spectrum | BUY | Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026? | No | 0.07 | $1 | tech |
| 5h ago | Spectrum | BUY | Will A.J. Brown have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 0.13 | $1 | other |
| 6h ago | Spectrum | SELL | Will Invictus Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 0.11 | $6 | other |
| 8h ago | Spectrum | BUY | Will Jalen Hurts have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 0.95 | $102 | other |
| 8h ago | Spectrum | SELL | Will Martin McDonagh be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.26 | $6 | geopolitics |
| 8h ago | Spectrum | BUY | Will "NAZA" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.21 | $11 | geopolitics |
| 9h ago | Spectrum | SELL | Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.21 | $1 | geopolitics |
| 9h ago | Spectrum | BUY | Will Jaylen Waddle have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 0.15 | $6 | other |
| 10h ago | Spectrum | SELL | Will Jynxzi win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards? | Yes | 0.20 | $2 | geopolitics |
| 21h ago | Spectrum | SELL | Will Ja'Marr Chase have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 0.41 | $4 | other |
Open positions (100)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Orlando Sanchez win the 2026 Harris County Judge election? | Yes | 433 | 0.08 | 0.07 | $31 | −$3 | esports |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 1532 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $2 | −$3 | other |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 600 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$2 | other |
| Will Gilberto Vasconcelos win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? | Yes | 490 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$2 | esports |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 448 | 0.05 | 0.00 | $0 | −$22 | other |
| Will The MongolZ win PGL Astana 2026? | Yes | 4000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$4 | other |
| MLS: Will CF Montreal beat D.C. United? | Yes | 4000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$4 | sports |
| Will Luiz França win the Governor of Paraná election? | Yes | 2872 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$4 | esports |
| Will Trump sign an NIL executive order by September 1? | No | 1855 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$2 | other |
| Will the Labour Party (Ap) win between 53 and 55 seats in the Norwegian election? | No | 1700 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$2 | esports |
| Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | 1337 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$4 | esports |
| Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06? | Yes | 1242 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $0 | −$13 | politics |
| Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the 2025 Rainbow 6 Siege World Cup? | Yes | 1075 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $0 | −$6 | weather |
| Will Mark Bekkering win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election? | Yes | 1052 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3 | esports |
| Will MOUZ win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026? | Yes | 1000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$1 | other |
| Will SD Almeria achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season? | Yes | 1000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$1 | other |
| Will Matteo Jorgenson win the Tour de France 2025? | Yes | 933 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3 | other |
| Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Truist Championship? | Yes | 820 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$4 | other |
| Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 807 | 0.02 | 0.00 | $0 | −$18 | other |
| Will Bad Bunny be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? | Yes | 805 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$4 | other |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? | Yes | 772 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $0 | −$7 | other |
| Will Malosi Togisala win the 2025 Internet Invitational? | Yes | 704 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3 | other |
| Will Heather Curnew win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election? | Yes | 702 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $0 | −$8 | esports |
| Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Truist Championship? | Yes | 700 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $0 | −$4 | other |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025? | Yes | 672 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $0 | −$4 | other |
| Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 667 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $0 | −$4 | other |
| Will Evelyn Matthei win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 667 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $0 | −$4 | esports |
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | 615 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $0 | −$8 | esports |
| Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 AL Central title? | Yes | 609 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $0 | −$4 | other |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | Yes | 587 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3 | other |
| Will Wieslawa Derlatka win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election? | Yes | 579 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3 | esports |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting? | No | 573 | 0.02 | 0.00 | $0 | −$14 | other |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 6? | Yes | 571 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $0 | −$8 | politics |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 568 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$2 | esports |
| Will Team Liquid win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025? | Yes | 561 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $0 | −$4 | other |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2025 PGA TOUR 3M Open? | Yes | 555 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $0 | −$6 | other |
| Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw? | No | 546 | 0.07 | 0.00 | $0 | −$36 | sports |
| Will Craig Swallow be the MA-09 Democratic nominee? | Yes | 536 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $0 | −$8 | politics |
| Will Elon Musk be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? | Yes | 524 | 0.02 | 0.00 | $0 | −$12 | other |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | No | 520 | 0.02 | 0.00 | $0 | −$11 | other |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6m ago | SELL | Will Alejandro González Iñárritu be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.88 | $35 |
| 8m ago | SELL | Will "NAZA" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.09 | $1 |
| 9m ago | BUY | Will Mike Evans have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 0.75 | $7 |
| 27m ago | BUY | Will Denis Villeneuve be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.47 | $9 |
| 27m ago | BUY | Will Jalen Hurts have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 0.95 | $159 |
| 66m ago | SELL | Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? | No | 0.97 | $100 |
| 69m ago | BUY | Will Mike Evans have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 0.77 | $15 |
| 76m ago | SELL | Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? | No | 0.97 | $61 |
| 76m ago | SELL | Will "NAZA" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.13 | $1 |
| 78m ago | SELL | Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? | No | 0.97 | $47 |
| 2h ago | BUY | Will Denis Villeneuve be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.44 | $13 |
| 2h ago | SELL | Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.75 | $7 |
| 2h ago | BUY | Will Waymo launch in Portland, OR by December 31 2026? | No | 0.91 | $36 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Will James Cook have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 0.12 | $1 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Will Javier Calvo be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.86 | $13 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Will James Cook have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 0.12 | $2 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Will Javier Calvo be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.86 | $13 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.80 | $42 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will Sandra Hüller be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.28 | $23 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will Sandra Hüller be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.28 | $4 |
| 5h ago | BUY | Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026? | No | 0.07 | $1 |
| 5h ago | BUY | Will A.J. Brown have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 0.13 | $1 |
| 5h ago | BUY | Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026? | No | 0.07 | $2 |
| 6h ago | SELL | Will Cristian Mungiu be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.40 | $2 |
| 6h ago | SELL | Will Invictus Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 0.11 | $3 |
| 6h ago | SELL | Will Invictus Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 0.11 | $6 |
| 8h ago | SELL | Will Army Black Knights Win the 2026 American Conference? | No | 0.92 | $166 |
| 8h ago | BUY | Will Jalen Hurts have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 0.95 | $102 |
| 8h ago | SELL | Will Martin McDonagh be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.26 | $6 |
| 8h ago | BUY | Will Sandra Hüller be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.26 | $3 |
| 8h ago | BUY | Will Jalen Hurts have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 0.95 | $19 |
| 8h ago | BUY | Will "NAZA" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.21 | $11 |
| 8h ago | SELL | Will Sandra Hüller be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.74 | $5 |
| 8h ago | SELL | Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.81 | $4 |
| 9h ago | SELL | Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.21 | $1 |
| 9h ago | SELL | Will Control Resonant win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes | 0.02 | $1 |
| 9h ago | SELL | Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.24 | $4 |
| 9h ago | SELL | Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.26 | $1 |
| 9h ago | SELL | Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.28 | $1 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Will Jaylen Waddle have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 0.15 | $6 |