vinii 80
0x1ee9a5fc09665909c0cce297c581703bfbb9197f · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2025-07
Realized PnL
$154,695
Months in profit
12 / 14
Win rate (events)
65%
ROI per market
5.1%
Avg stake
$1,206
Median hold
72.4 d
Volume
$3,975,997
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 1000 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2026-09-03); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
esports 269 other 264 crypto 124 geopolitics 115 tech 109 politics 89
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | vinii | BUY | Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | No | 0.63 | $6 | other |
Open positions (100)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 14359 | 0.87 | 0.89 | $12,707 | $255 | politics |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 5598 | 0.83 | 0.85 | $4,739 | $106 | politics |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5000 | 0.91 | 0.92 | $4,575 | $25 | esports |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%? | No | 3631 | 0.91 | 0.95 | $3,462 | $174 | politics |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 3647 | 0.78 | 0.93 | $3,374 | $517 | other |
| Denmark snap election called by December 31? | No | 3362 | 0.93 | 0.98 | $3,312 | $199 | esports |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 3255 | 0.67 | 0.91 | $2,946 | $749 | esports |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 3765 | 0.74 | 0.77 | $2,880 | $93 | esports |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 3403 | 0.72 | 0.84 | $2,867 | $405 | politics |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31? | No | 2357 | 0.84 | 0.95 | $2,241 | $258 | crypto |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 2158 | 0.89 | 0.98 | $2,111 | $185 | geopolitics |
| Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | No | 3624 | 0.62 | 0.56 | $2,012 | −$230 | other |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? | No | 2006 | 0.75 | 0.94 | $1,896 | $398 | other |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 1896 | 0.91 | 0.98 | $1,862 | $141 | crypto |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 2008 | 0.75 | 0.82 | $1,647 | $141 | politics |
| Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 1676 | 0.91 | 0.97 | $1,630 | $101 | other |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | No | 1830 | 0.84 | 0.87 | $1,592 | $50 | other |
| Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? | No | 3926 | 0.11 | 0.40 | $1,551 | $1,137 | other |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31? | No | 1639 | 0.69 | 0.94 | $1,532 | $396 | crypto |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $68B? | No | 1249 | 0.91 | 0.98 | $1,220 | $80 | crypto |
| America.gov removed by October 31? | No | 1213 | 0.92 | 0.97 | $1,179 | $57 | other |
| Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | No | 1321 | 0.75 | 0.88 | $1,156 | $171 | tech |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1597 | 0.37 | 0.70 | $1,118 | $522 | macro |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | No | 1080 | 0.56 | 0.98 | $1,053 | $450 | macro |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 1594 | 0.49 | 0.65 | $1,028 | $248 | tech |
| Michigan Senate favorite on November 2? | El-Sayed | 1097 | 0.76 | 0.92 | $1,009 | $171 | politics |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | No | 1000 | 0.81 | 0.94 | $941 | $136 | esports |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | No | 1114 | 0.82 | 0.83 | $930 | $12 | other |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1204 | 0.82 | 0.77 | $927 | −$57 | esports |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 1105 | 0.65 | 0.80 | $884 | $162 | other |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 400,000 and 450,000? | No | 995 | 0.78 | 0.88 | $876 | $101 | esports |
| Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31? | No | 859 | 0.84 | 0.98 | $841 | $119 | geopolitics |
| Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | No | 979 | 0.75 | 0.85 | $828 | $94 | other |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 2,500,000 and 2,750,000? | No | 875 | 0.83 | 0.93 | $814 | $83 | esports |
| Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE? | No | 1162 | 0.70 | 0.69 | $808 | −$9 | other |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | No | 4282 | 0.09 | 0.19 | $803 | $435 | other |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 3502 | 0.16 | 0.22 | $770 | $207 | politics |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 804 | 0.90 | 0.93 | $749 | $23 | crypto |
| Will Nayib Bukele win the 2027 Salvadoran presidential election? | Yes | 771 | 0.88 | 0.97 | $748 | $66 | esports |
| Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 770 | 0.49 | 0.97 | $748 | $370 | crypto |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m ago | SELL | Will Xavi Hernandez attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | No | 0.88 | $32 |
| 8m ago | BUY | Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | No | 0.59 | $1 |
| 17m ago | SELL | US recession by end of 2026? | No | 0.93 | $930 |
| 33m ago | BUY | Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 0.00 | $6 |
| 42m ago | SELL | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.95 | $144 |
| 49m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 0.73 | $718 |
| 54m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? | Yes | 0.01 | $10 |
| 55m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%? | No | 0.91 | $1,903 |
| 66m ago | SELL | US recession by end of 2026? | No | 0.93 | $1,249 |
| 71m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 0.76 | $186 |
| 71m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 0.84 | $2,520 |
| 72m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%? | No | 0.92 | $14 |
| 73m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 0.76 | $261 |
| 78m ago | SELL | Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.91 | $8 |
| 83m ago | BUY | Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | No | 0.50 | $1 |
| 86m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 0.86 | $1,726 |
| 87m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%? | No | 0.86 | $448 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | No | 0.61 | $732 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | No | 0.61 | $61 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | No | 0.61 | $34 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | No | 0.62 | $496 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | No | 0.63 | $35 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | No | 0.63 | $6 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | No | 0.59 | $283 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 0.34 | $104 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will Together win 17-19 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 0.11 | $42 |
| 6h ago | SELL | Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.12 | $1 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.10 | $63 |
| 7h ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 0.91 | $1,725 |
| 7h ago | BUY | Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.87 | $212 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election? | Yes | 0.04 | $4 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election? | Yes | 0.04 | $2 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election? | Yes | 0.04 | $5 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election? | Yes | 0.04 | $2 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election? | Yes | 0.04 | $5 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election? | Yes | 0.04 | $2 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election? | Yes | 0.04 | $2 |
| 13h ago | SELL | Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027? | No | 0.66 | $13 |
| 13h ago | BUY | Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | Yes | 0.05 | $16 |
| 13h ago | BUY | Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | Yes | 0.01 | $3 |