ProfessionalPunter 78
0x22e4248bdb066f65c9f11cd66cdd3719a28eef1c · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2025-05
Realized PnL
$369,907
Months in profit
14 / 18
Win rate (events)
70%
ROI per market
4.0%
Avg stake
$12,993
Median hold
23.3 d
Volume
$12,673,791
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 998 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2025-07-04); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
other 326 geopolitics 155 tech 129 sports 87 esports 81 macro 79
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades captured yet. The feed fills up as tracked wallets trade. | |||||||
Open positions (87)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 100000 | 0.99 | 1.00 | $99,650 | $150 | macro |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 120816 | 0.03 | 0.77 | $93,210 | $89,434 | esports |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 50000 | 0.20 | 0.64 | $31,750 | $21,750 | politics |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 25000 | 0.92 | 0.92 | $22,875 | −$125 | politics |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 50000 | 0.20 | 0.28 | $13,750 | $3,750 | politics |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 6765 | 0.68 | 0.90 | $6,102 | $1,524 | geopolitics |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 10032 | 0.35 | 0.51 | $5,066 | $1,599 | esports |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 1176 | 0.39 | 1.00 | $1,173 | $714 | macro |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 1000 | 0.80 | 0.99 | $988 | $183 | other |
| Blue wave in 2026? | Yes | 688 | 0.78 | 0.82 | $567 | $32 | other |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 20000 | 0.04 | 0.02 | $450 | −$381 | geopolitics |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | Yes | 4432 | 0.24 | 0.07 | $288 | −$776 | geopolitics |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | Yes | 411 | 0.39 | 0.35 | $146 | −$15 | other |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 709 | 0.51 | 0.17 | $124 | −$238 | geopolitics |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | 50000 | 0.20 | 0.00 | $75 | −$9,925 | other |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1512 | 0.26 | 0.03 | $47 | −$346 | macro |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 370 | 0.24 | 0.06 | $21 | −$69 | macro |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? | No | 10 | 0.63 | 0.94 | $10 | $3 | other |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 191 | 0.11 | 0.03 | $6 | −$15 | other |
| Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? | Yes | 2 | 0.50 | 0.84 | $1 | $1 | crypto |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 120816 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,775 | esports |
| Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 120816 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,775 | esports |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 120816 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,775 | esports |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 120816 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,775 | esports |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 120816 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,775 | esports |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 120816 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,775 | esports |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 120816 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,775 | esports |
| Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 120816 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,775 | esports |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 120816 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,775 | esports |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 120816 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,775 | esports |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 120816 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,775 | esports |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 120816 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,775 | esports |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 120816 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,775 | esports |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 120816 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,775 | esports |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 120816 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,775 | esports |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 120816 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,775 | esports |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 30000 | 0.58 | 0.00 | $0 | −$17,468 | geopolitics |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 18561 | 0.11 | 0.00 | $0 | −$2,018 | other |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | No | 10627 | 0.56 | 0.00 | $0 | −$5,960 | geopolitics |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 5000 | 0.71 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,550 | geopolitics |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $5 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $398 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $2 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $178 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $199 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $1,194 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $995 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $7,057 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $199 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $796 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $778 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $563 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $575 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $9,950 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $8,834 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $27,462 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $199 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $199 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $30 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $378 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $1,194 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $1,194 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $1,522 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $1,590 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $1,590 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $1,612 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $1,612 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $995 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $1,132 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $21,094 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $2,189 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $3,761 |
| 14d ago | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 0.99 | $24 |
| 14d ago | BUY | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 0.92 | $4,570 |
| 15d ago | BUY | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 0.92 | $1,844 |
| 15d ago | BUY | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 0.92 | $536 |
| 15d ago | BUY | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 0.92 | $6 |
| 15d ago | BUY | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 0.92 | $6,984 |
| 15d ago | BUY | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 0.92 | $368 |
| 15d ago | BUY | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 0.92 | $111 |