0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960 74
0x6bab66c4bb24c96ed14dcca0f0979b38a6830fe5 · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2025-10
Realized PnL
$94,983
Months in profit
10 / 13
Win rate (events)
64%
ROI per market
1.5%
Avg stake
$17,491
Median hold
19.5 d
Volume
$2,551,196
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 366 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2025-10-20); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
geopolitics 203 other 104 crypto 22 tech 14 sports 10 esports 5
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed1… | SELL | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 0.70 | $7 | esports |
Open positions (46)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 79374 | 0.43 | 0.28 | $22,621 | −$11,200 | esports |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 20436 | 0.67 | 0.90 | $18,290 | $4,542 | geopolitics |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 20507 | 0.72 | 0.82 | $16,918 | $2,072 | other |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 18484 | 0.54 | 0.87 | $16,081 | $6,187 | geopolitics |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 19383 | 0.77 | 0.76 | $14,634 | −$198 | crypto |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 18070 | 0.81 | 0.67 | $12,161 | −$2,562 | esports |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 11706 | 0.80 | 0.86 | $10,126 | $817 | geopolitics |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | Yes | 10763 | 0.88 | 0.91 | $9,789 | $301 | other |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 31820 | 0.38 | 0.28 | $8,750 | −$3,222 | esports |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 8498 | 0.69 | 0.94 | $8,031 | $2,168 | geopolitics |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 12912 | 0.47 | 0.61 | $7,831 | $1,821 | geopolitics |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? | No | 5263 | 0.85 | 0.89 | $4,684 | $232 | geopolitics |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | No | 3484 | 0.65 | 0.72 | $2,509 | $240 | geopolitics |
| Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 2501 | 0.83 | 0.92 | $2,304 | $231 | esports |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 11478 | 0.27 | 0.20 | $2,238 | −$806 | esports |
| Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | Bibi | 4140 | 0.63 | 0.46 | $1,904 | −$698 | esports |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 1322 | 0.74 | 0.80 | $1,051 | $73 | other |
| Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 453 | 0.72 | 0.93 | $423 | $98 | esports |
| Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government? | No | 480 | 0.66 | 0.60 | $288 | −$30 | geopolitics |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 354 | 0.77 | 0.74 | $264 | −$8 | crypto |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 311 | 0.71 | 0.81 | $254 | $33 | other |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 214 | 0.73 | 0.88 | $187 | $31 | other |
| Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 151 | 0.62 | 0.88 | $133 | $39 | esports |
| Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 140 | 0.81 | 0.93 | $131 | $17 | esports |
| Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 195 | 0.75 | 0.65 | $126 | −$20 | esports |
| Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 123 | 0.81 | 0.88 | $108 | $8 | esports |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 154 | 0.73 | 0.69 | $106 | −$7 | esports |
| Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026? | No | 79 | 0.74 | 0.81 | $64 | $5 | other |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 50 | 0.86 | 0.97 | $49 | $6 | other |
| Will Blue and White win 3.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 44 | 0.84 | 1.00 | $44 | $7 | esports |
| Will Dems win 14 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 40 | 0.85 | 0.94 | $38 | $3 | esports |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 36 | 0.28 | 0.73 | $26 | $16 | esports |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | No | 560 | 0.08 | 0.04 | $24 | −$20 | esports |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | Yes | 57 | 0.23 | 0.25 | $14 | $1 | tech |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | Yes | 66 | 0.12 | 0.20 | $13 | $5 | tech |
| Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 10 | 0.97 | 0.98 | $10 | $0 | esports |
| CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score | No | 3599 | 0.86 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,094 | sports |
| UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims) | Joel Álvarez | 1899 | 0.37 | 0.00 | $0 | −$711 | sports |
| UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card) | Jeremy Stephens | 1145 | 0.23 | 0.00 | $0 | −$262 | sports |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m? | Yes | 1079 | 0.02 | 0.00 | $0 | −$26 | culture |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | SELL | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 0.88 | $44 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 0.88 | $88 |
| 7h ago | SELL | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 0.70 | $7 |
| 17h ago | SELL | Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 0.91 | $641 |
| 24h ago | BUY | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 0.25 | $5 |
| 24h ago | BUY | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 0.25 | $30 |
| 24h ago | BUY | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 0.25 | $2 |
| 24h ago | BUY | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 0.25 | $6 |
| 24h ago | BUY | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 0.25 | $6 |
| 24h ago | BUY | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 0.25 | $25 |
| 24h ago | BUY | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 0.25 | $4 |
| 24h ago | SELL | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.89 | $605 |
| 24h ago | SELL | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.89 | $1 |
| 24h ago | SELL | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.89 | $9 |
| 24h ago | SELL | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.89 | $181 |
| 26h ago | BUY | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 0.25 | $1 |
| 26h ago | BUY | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 0.25 | $395 |
| 26h ago | BUY | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 0.27 | $263 |
| 26h ago | BUY | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 0.28 | $448 |
| 26h ago | BUY | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 0.28 | $36 |
| 26h ago | BUY | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 0.27 | $250 |
| 26h ago | BUY | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 0.28 | $375 |
| 26h ago | BUY | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 0.28 | $92 |
| 26h ago | BUY | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 0.29 | $522 |
| 27h ago | BUY | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 0.30 | $15 |
| 27h ago | BUY | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 0.30 | $8 |
| 27h ago | SELL | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.89 | $2 |
| 27h ago | SELL | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.89 | $1 |
| 27h ago | BUY | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | Yes | 0.88 | $1,765 |
| 27h ago | SELL | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.89 | $9 |
| 27h ago | SELL | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.89 | $47 |
| 27h ago | SELL | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.89 | $1 |
| 27h ago | SELL | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.89 | $0 |
| 27h ago | SELL | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.89 | $4 |
| 27h ago | SELL | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.89 | $0 |
| 27h ago | SELL | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.89 | $0 |
| 27h ago | SELL | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.89 | $0 |
| 27h ago | BUY | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 0.30 | $6 |
| 27h ago | BUY | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 0.30 | $150 |
| 27h ago | BUY | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 0.30 | $5 |