0x7272c0D9478Ef6447f48A20a7Db2839A61A4a67d-1735227193318 81
0x7272c0d9478ef6447f48a20a7db2839a61a4a67d · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2025-02
Realized PnL
$20,506
Months in profit
12 / 16
Win rate (events)
87%
ROI per market
28.3%
Avg stake
$1,421
Median hold
24.5 d
Volume
$83,918
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 60 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2025-07-06); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
other 24 geopolitics 22 tech 4 crypto 3 esports 2 macro 2
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25h ago | 0x7272c0D9478Ef6447f… | SELL | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | No | 1.00 | $499 | other |
Open positions (89)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 2000 | 0.64 | 0.90 | $1,790 | $519 | geopolitics |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 1000 | 0.79 | 0.97 | $975 | $185 | other |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | No | 1173 | 0.23 | 0.69 | $809 | $534 | other |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | Yes | 894 | 0.58 | 0.79 | $702 | $182 | geopolitics |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | No | 762 | 0.47 | 0.70 | $537 | $182 | other |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 30%-35%? | No | 500 | 0.71 | 0.86 | $433 | $78 | esports |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 0.71 | 0.82 | $410 | $55 | other |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | No | 500 | 0.71 | 0.70 | $353 | −$2 | geopolitics |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | No | 500 | 0.70 | 0.70 | $350 | $0 | other |
| Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2? | No | 428 | 0.71 | 0.79 | $336 | $32 | politics |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? | No | 500 | 0.54 | 0.57 | $285 | $15 | other |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | No | 1078 | 0.27 | 0.24 | $259 | −$36 | crypto |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 5%-10%? | No | 366 | 0.64 | 0.70 | $258 | $24 | esports |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | No | 431 | 0.58 | 0.59 | $256 | $6 | esports |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 40%-45%? | No | 313 | 0.65 | 0.79 | $246 | $42 | esports |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 2000 | 0.16 | 0.12 | $230 | −$90 | geopolitics |
| Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 500 | 0.51 | 0.45 | $225 | −$30 | esports |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | No | 760 | 0.23 | 0.29 | $224 | $49 | politics |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? | No | 660 | 0.27 | 0.29 | $195 | $17 | esports |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 0.62 | 0.39 | $193 | −$117 | other |
| Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 800,000 and 900,000? | No | 298 | 0.48 | 0.63 | $186 | $43 | esports |
| Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 375 | 0.67 | 0.46 | $173 | −$78 | culture |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 40%-45%? | No | 210 | 0.69 | 0.77 | $162 | $18 | esports |
| Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections? | No | 1000 | 0.11 | 0.14 | $145 | $35 | esports |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | No | 500 | 0.31 | 0.29 | $145 | −$10 | esports |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 500 | 0.33 | 0.28 | $143 | −$22 | esports |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat? | No | 500 | 0.29 | 0.28 | $143 | −$2 | politics |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 500 | 0.27 | 0.27 | $132 | −$2 | politics |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 0.26 | 0.26 | $128 | −$2 | politics |
| Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 404 | 0.28 | 0.29 | $119 | $6 | other |
| Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 70% by November 2? | No | 121 | 0.64 | 0.82 | $99 | $22 | politics |
| Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 500 | 0.28 | 0.18 | $91 | −$49 | macro |
| Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 0.24 | 0.17 | $88 | −$32 | politics |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 0.39 | 0.17 | $82 | −$112 | geopolitics |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%? | Yes | 370 | 0.19 | 0.22 | $81 | $11 | esports |
| Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | No | 143 | 0.52 | 0.54 | $77 | $2 | politics |
| Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference? | Yes | 157 | 0.45 | 0.48 | $76 | $6 | geopolitics |
| Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | No | 200 | 0.35 | 0.38 | $76 | $6 | politics |
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference? | No | 158 | 0.53 | 0.47 | $75 | −$9 | geopolitics |
| Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 162 | 0.41 | 0.46 | $74 | $8 | macro |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | BUY | Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 0.28 | $112 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 0.28 | $1 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | Yes | 0.09 | $12 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | No | 0.52 | $160 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | No | 0.52 | $27 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | No | 0.52 | $10 |
| 6h ago | SELL | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | No | 0.27 | $103 |
| 6h ago | SELL | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | No | 0.27 | $17 |
| 6h ago | SELL | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | No | 0.28 | $85 |
| 6h ago | SELL | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.27 | $38 |
| 6h ago | SELL | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.30 | $3 |
| 6h ago | SELL | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.30 | $1 |
| 6h ago | SELL | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.30 | $150 |
| 6h ago | SELL | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | No | 0.31 | $9 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | No | 0.29 | $44 |
| 13h ago | BUY | Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | No | 0.52 | $5 |
| 13h ago | BUY | Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | No | 0.52 | $8 |
| 20h ago | BUY | Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | No | 0.52 | $4 |
| 21h ago | BUY | Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 0.67 | $57 |
| 21h ago | BUY | Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 0.67 | $90 |
| 21h ago | BUY | Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 0.67 | $4 |
| 21h ago | BUY | Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 0.67 | $17 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | No | 0.58 | $250 |
| 25h ago | SELL | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 0.21 | $53 |
| 25h ago | BUY | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.30 | $132 |
| 25h ago | SELL | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? | No | 0.19 | $6 |
| 25h ago | SELL | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? | No | 0.19 | $157 |
| 25h ago | SELL | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? | No | 0.19 | $14 |
| 25h ago | SELL | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? | No | 0.19 | $2 |
| 25h ago | BUY | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | No | 0.51 | $80 |
| 25h ago | SELL | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? | No | 0.19 | $4 |
| 25h ago | BUY | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | Yes | 0.61 | $2 |
| 25h ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | No | 1.00 | $499 |
| 25h ago | BUY | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | Yes | 0.61 | $7 |
| 25h ago | BUY | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | No | 0.57 | $49 |
| 25h ago | BUY | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | Yes | 0.62 | $210 |
| 25h ago | BUY | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | Yes | 0.62 | $3 |
| 25h ago | BUY | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | Yes | 0.62 | $7 |
| 25h ago | BUY | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | No | 0.57 | $6 |
| 25h ago | BUY | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | No | 0.65 | $250 |