DegenerateJanet 77
0x8964b58c08b784ecfe1d9344223692263d130bec · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2024-09
Realized PnL
$26,489
Months in profit
20 / 26
Win rate (events)
83%
ROI per market
1.5%
Avg stake
$2,429
Median hold
24.9 d
Volume
$1,838,036
5m crypto share
1%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 661 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2024-09-03); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
other 349 crypto 138 geopolitics 94 politics 19 macro 16 tech 12
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades captured yet. The feed fills up as tracked wallets trade. | |||||||
Open positions (78)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 14513 | 0.90 | 0.98 | $14,186 | $1,193 | politics |
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | No | 12125 | 0.89 | 0.97 | $11,743 | $918 | other |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 11006 | 0.93 | 0.97 | $10,671 | $472 | crypto |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 10006 | 0.88 | 0.96 | $9,580 | $783 | other |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 10265 | 0.86 | 0.93 | $9,495 | $652 | other |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 11653 | 0.69 | 0.65 | $7,517 | −$576 | other |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 5658 | 0.88 | 0.98 | $5,531 | $558 | geopolitics |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 5406 | 0.87 | 0.98 | $5,279 | $590 | other |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 6080 | 0.81 | 0.85 | $5,198 | $301 | geopolitics |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | 4813 | 0.90 | 0.95 | $4,596 | $248 | crypto |
| Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026? | No | 4791 | 0.92 | 0.91 | $4,353 | −$71 | other |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 4267 | 0.89 | 0.96 | $4,096 | $316 | other |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4258 | 0.91 | 0.96 | $4,077 | $192 | crypto |
| Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026? | No | 3843 | 0.95 | 0.94 | $3,605 | −$30 | other |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 3659 | 0.74 | 0.95 | $3,494 | $782 | geopolitics |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 3039 | 0.94 | 0.95 | $2,903 | $56 | geopolitics |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | No | 2702 | 0.74 | 0.92 | $2,473 | $482 | crypto |
| Epstein storage units raided in 2026? | No | 2415 | 0.83 | 0.96 | $2,313 | $296 | other |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 3000 | 0.74 | 0.74 | $2,235 | $15 | geopolitics |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 2121 | 0.98 | 0.99 | $2,101 | $20 | esports |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 2040 | 0.89 | 0.94 | $1,928 | $116 | other |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 1982 | 0.60 | 0.78 | $1,546 | $363 | esports |
| Trump calls Nicki Minaj hot again in 2026? | No | 1460 | 0.80 | 0.96 | $1,401 | $229 | other |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 1497 | 0.82 | 0.91 | $1,355 | $122 | other |
| Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? | Yes | 1398 | 0.86 | 0.92 | $1,279 | $82 | crypto |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 1248 | 0.94 | 0.96 | $1,204 | $35 | geopolitics |
| Plague case in US by December 31? | No | 1224 | 0.92 | 0.93 | $1,132 | $9 | other |
| Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? | No | 1168 | 0.77 | 0.91 | $1,065 | $160 | other |
| Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? | No | 1103 | 0.81 | 0.96 | $1,059 | $162 | other |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1000 | 0.85 | 0.95 | $954 | $99 | politics |
| Will $ANSEM reach $1 before 2027? | No | 918 | 0.89 | 0.96 | $884 | $65 | crypto |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 849 | 0.96 | 0.97 | $824 | $6 | crypto |
| Obama federally charged before 2027? | No | 771 | 0.90 | 0.95 | $736 | $45 | macro |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 679 | 0.87 | 0.95 | $648 | $60 | geopolitics |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 1859 | 0.63 | 0.26 | $492 | −$676 | crypto |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 473 | 0.90 | 0.95 | $449 | $25 | geopolitics |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 477 | 0.89 | 0.93 | $443 | $21 | politics |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 497 | 0.85 | 0.89 | $440 | $17 | other |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 404 | 0.74 | 0.93 | $374 | $75 | geopolitics |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 420 | 0.79 | 0.80 | $336 | $4 | other |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | BUY | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.86 | $22 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 0.56 | $445 |
| 3h ago | BUY | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.84 | $21 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 0.99 | $495 |
| 28h ago | BUY | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 0.56 | $7 |
| 35h ago | BUY | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 0.56 | $11 |
| 36h ago | BUY | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 0.56 | $10 |
| 36h ago | BUY | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 0.55 | $85 |
| 48h ago | BUY | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 0.95 | $74 |
| 48h ago | BUY | Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.94 | $217 |
| 48h ago | BUY | Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026? | No | 0.90 | $94 |
| 48h ago | SELL | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 0.99 | $495 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.87 | $87 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026? | No | 0.91 | $165 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 0.63 | $11 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 0.61 | $24 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 0.61 | $3 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 0.53 | $192 |
| 3d ago | SELL | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 0.99 | $495 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.96 | $179 |
| 4d ago | SELL | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | Yes | 0.47 | $31 |
| 4d ago | SELL | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | Yes | 0.47 | $144 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 0.60 | $255 |
| 4d ago | SELL | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 0.98 | $258 |
| 5d ago | BUY | Plague case in US by December 31? | No | 0.93 | $30 |
| 8d ago | BUY | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 0.59 | $118 |
| 8d ago | BUY | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 0.59 | $59 |
| 8d ago | BUY | Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026? | No | 0.91 | $19 |
| 8d ago | BUY | Plague case in US by December 31? | No | 0.92 | $92 |
| 9d ago | BUY | Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.89 | $18 |
| 9d ago | SELL | Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.98 | $322 |
| 9d ago | SELL | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | Yes | 0.05 | $3 |
| 9d ago | SELL | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | Yes | 0.05 | $2 |
| 10d ago | BUY | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.87 | $7 |
| 10d ago | BUY | Plague case in US by December 31? | No | 0.91 | $11 |
| 10d ago | SELL | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | Yes | 0.04 | $7 |
| 10d ago | BUY | Plague case in US by December 31? | No | 0.93 | $465 |
| 10d ago | BUY | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 0.73 | $18 |
| 10d ago | BUY | Plague case in US by December 31? | No | 0.92 | $136 |
| 10d ago | BUY | Plague case in US by December 31? | No | 0.91 | $73 |