charliealmanack 76
0xa3a39a3746dbd55f3a33ae38bd27ae2804c2c2f9 · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2025-11
Realized PnL
$160,430
Months in profit
7 / 10
Win rate (events)
67%
ROI per market
9.5%
Avg stake
$12,750
Median hold
119.3 d
Volume
$2,174,699
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 171 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2025-11-12); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
sports 62 other 60 geopolitics 18 macro 13 tech 9 crypto 5
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades captured yet. The feed fills up as tracked wallets trade. | |||||||
Open positions (27)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 139933 | 0.83 | 0.96 | $133,985 | $18,133 | other |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 68988 | 0.24 | 0.16 | $10,935 | −$5,696 | politics |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 7000 | 0.99 | 1.00 | $6,997 | $53 | politics |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 5193 | 0.68 | 0.59 | $3,090 | −$441 | macro |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 3160 | 0.95 | 0.97 | $3,075 | $66 | politics |
| Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 1571 | 0.92 | 0.96 | $1,502 | $62 | politics |
| Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 1551 | 0.91 | 0.97 | $1,499 | $82 | politics |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 50000 | 0.10 | 0.02 | $1,125 | −$3,859 | geopolitics |
| Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | No | 1000 | 0.45 | 0.98 | $980 | $530 | other |
| Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 541 | 0.92 | 0.95 | $517 | $19 | politics |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 10000 | 0.16 | 0.03 | $305 | −$1,295 | geopolitics |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 1003 | 0.58 | 0.17 | $165 | −$416 | other |
| Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? | No | 148 | 0.56 | 0.96 | $142 | $59 | other |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 167 | 0.69 | 0.80 | $133 | $18 | esports |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 500 | 0.26 | 0.03 | $15 | −$114 | macro |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 12 | 0.08 | 0.97 | $12 | $11 | macro |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 34 | 0.33 | 0.14 | $5 | −$7 | politics |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 2 | 0.64 | 0.86 | $1 | $0 | politics |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | Yes | 20000 | 0.55 | 0.00 | $0 | −$11,000 | sports |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 19994 | 0.85 | 0.00 | $0 | −$16,995 | sports |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 12000 | 0.73 | 0.00 | $0 | −$8,760 | sports |
| Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Yes | 12000 | 0.34 | 0.00 | $0 | −$4,080 | sports |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 10000 | 0.60 | 0.00 | $0 | −$6,000 | sports |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? | Yes | 10000 | 0.25 | 0.00 | $0 | −$2,500 | sports |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 10000 | 0.31 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,100 | sports |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | 6349 | 0.53 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,365 | other |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5000 | 0.15 | 0.00 | $0 | −$745 | other |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.68 | $3,531 |
| 96d ago | BUY | Will “The Jensen Jacket: Jensen Huang's Tom Ford Leather Jacket” sell for at least $85k at auction? | Yes | 0.82 | $33 |
| 97d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | Yes | 0.26 | $255 |
| 97d ago | BUY | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 0.96 | $4,820 |
| 97d ago | BUY | Will “The Jensen Jacket: Jensen Huang's Tom Ford Leather Jacket” sell for at least $85k at auction? | Yes | 0.81 | $106 |
| 97d ago | BUY | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0.58 | $5,820 |
| 107d ago | BUY | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | Yes | 0.52 | $10,400 |
| 107d ago | BUY | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | Yes | 0.55 | $11,000 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $16,265 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $11 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $11 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $11 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $11 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $10 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $10 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $11 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $11 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $11 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $6 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $4 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $8 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $11 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $1 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $4 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $4 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $4 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $4 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $3 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $3 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $3 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $3 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $11 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $4 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $4 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $4 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $3 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $4 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $4 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $4 |
| 113d ago | BUY | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 0.85 | $4 |