HerrieDavis 81
0xac4a1fabdac2438d6afa2a9e8e83845310a0bf1e · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2026-03
Realized PnL
$331,829
Months in profit
7 / 8
Win rate (events)
63%
ROI per market
6.6%
Avg stake
$2,054
Median hold
42.6 d
Volume
$13,994,223
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 1000 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2026-09-16); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
other 401 esports 192 geopolitics 190 politics 71 tech 58 macro 40
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades captured yet. The feed fills up as tracked wallets trade. | |||||||
Open positions (100)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026? | No | 10001 | 0.84 | 0.96 | $9,571 | $1,120 | geopolitics |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 8660 | 0.51 | 0.94 | $8,097 | $3,705 | politics |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 8842 | 0.51 | 0.89 | $7,825 | $3,344 | geopolitics |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 9262 | 0.48 | 0.26 | $2,413 | −$2,023 | macro |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8939 | 0.07 | 0.16 | $1,448 | $860 | politics |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026? | No | 10001 | 0.81 | 0.13 | $1,300 | −$6,851 | geopolitics |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6740 | 0.05 | 0.09 | $610 | $287 | esports |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 6628 | 0.14 | 0.09 | $563 | −$340 | politics |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 8895 | 0.13 | 0.03 | $280 | −$850 | macro |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 6740 | 0.01 | 0.03 | $206 | $165 | politics |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10001 | 0.01 | 0.01 | $140 | $72 | esports |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 10011 | 0.06 | 0.01 | $75 | −$544 | macro |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6515 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $10 | −$46 | politics |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6430 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $10 | −$41 | politics |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6430 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $10 | −$41 | politics |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6430 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $10 | −$41 | politics |
| Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6430 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $10 | −$41 | politics |
| Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6430 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $10 | −$41 | politics |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 7030 | 0.08 | 0.00 | $4 | −$537 | macro |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 6782 | 0.08 | 0.00 | $3 | −$518 | macro |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 6756 | 0.08 | 0.00 | $3 | −$516 | macro |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6430 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $3 | −$47 | politics |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6430 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $3 | −$47 | politics |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6430 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $3 | −$47 | politics |
| Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6430 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $3 | −$47 | politics |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 17659 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$552 | esports |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 17649 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$552 | esports |
| Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 17579 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$549 | esports |
| Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 17089 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$534 | esports |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 16654 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$519 | esports |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 16405 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$513 | esports |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 16326 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$510 | esports |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 16265 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$508 | esports |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 14826 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$463 | esports |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 14664 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$450 | esports |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 14483 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$453 | esports |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 13558 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$424 | esports |
| Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 13251 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$390 | esports |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026? | Yes | 12501 | 0.02 | 0.00 | $0 | −$206 | geopolitics |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 11404 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$356 | esports |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18m ago | BUY | Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.68 | $87 |
| 18m ago | BUY | Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.78 | $88 |
| 20m ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | Yes | 0.16 | $4 |
| 20m ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | Yes | 0.17 | $11 |
| 21m ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | Yes | 0.05 | $8 |
| 21m ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | Yes | 0.06 | $4 |
| 21m ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | Yes | 0.07 | $2 |
| 23m ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | Yes | 0.02 | $4 |
| 29m ago | BUY | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.15 | $8 |
| 32m ago | BUY | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.23 | $10 |
| 33m ago | BUY | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | No | 0.27 | $84 |
| 33m ago | BUY | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | No | 0.27 | $16 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.90 | $2,030 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.92 | $654 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.22 | $62 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.23 | $21 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.25 | $12 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | No | 0.54 | $2 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.35 | $25 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.48 | $33 |
| 20h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | No | 0.60 | $38 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | No | 0.52 | $107 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | No | 0.29 | $36 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? | Yes | 0.08 | $1 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? | Yes | 0.10 | $4 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | Yes | 0.77 | $173 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | No | 0.18 | $25 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | Yes | 0.07 | $20 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | No | 0.35 | $92 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.20 | $72 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | No | 0.11 | $38 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | Yes | 0.26 | $66 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.17 | $7 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.21 | $101 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Yes | 0.11 | $22 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.04 | $1 |
| 24h ago | BUY | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | No | 0.76 | $43 |
| 24h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 0.36 | $162 |
| 24h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.76 | $622 |
| 24h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.76 | $50 |