Do-Not-Redeem 83
0xad89f899f1524533adfd1e6a07da692fcd92f6e1 · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2025-05
Realized PnL
$364,858
Months in profit
16 / 18
Win rate (events)
72%
ROI per market
3.2%
Avg stake
$8,261
Median hold
6.3 d
Volume
$6,405,084
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 1000 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2026-02-10); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
other 456 sports 416 politics 59 geopolitics 36 esports 23 crypto 6
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | Do-Not-Redeem | BUY | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.38 | $2,253 | politics |
Open positions (20)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 230000 | 0.50 | 0.65 | $149,500 | $34,500 | esports |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 230000 | 0.50 | 0.35 | $80,500 | −$34,500 | esports |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | No | 25000 | 0.78 | 0.83 | $20,875 | $1,272 | other |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 29102 | 0.62 | 0.65 | $18,771 | $728 | politics |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | No | 15750 | 0.86 | 0.89 | $13,939 | $380 | politics |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 22993 | 0.35 | 0.36 | $8,392 | $335 | politics |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 15702 | 0.37 | 0.39 | $6,045 | $224 | politics |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 12705 | 0.36 | 0.39 | $4,891 | $267 | politics |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 18009 | 0.28 | 0.26 | $4,592 | −$450 | politics |
| Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027? | No | 433 | 0.99 | 0.99 | $430 | $1 | other |
| Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary? | No | 306 | 0.95 | 0.93 | $286 | −$6 | other |
| Will Democrats win white voters in the Texas Senate election? | No | 218 | 0.89 | 0.94 | $204 | $10 | esports |
| Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22? | Yes | 165 | 0.64 | 0.91 | $149 | $43 | other |
| Will Sport win Brazil Série B? | No | 138 | 0.99 | 0.71 | $98 | −$39 | other |
| Will Criciúma be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série B? | No | 97 | 0.99 | 0.86 | $84 | −$12 | other |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 129 | 0.62 | 0.64 | $82 | $2 | other |
| Will Goiás be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série B? | No | 103 | 0.99 | 0.80 | $82 | −$20 | other |
| Will Cuiabá be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série B? | No | 92 | 0.99 | 0.84 | $77 | −$13 | other |
| Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? | Yes | 165 | 0.05 | 0.02 | $4 | −$5 | other |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18? | No | 1592 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$44 | other |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | SELL | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.26 | $1 |
| 2h ago | SELL | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.26 | $1 |
| 2h ago | SELL | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.26 | $1 |
| 2h ago | SELL | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.26 | $0 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.38 | $387 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.38 | $2,253 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.38 | $2 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.38 | $2 |
| 4h ago | SELL | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.26 | $1 |
| 4h ago | SELL | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.26 | $26 |
| 4h ago | SELL | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.26 | $1 |
| 5h ago | SELL | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.26 | $27 |
| 5h ago | SELL | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.38 | $11 |
| 5h ago | SELL | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.38 | $2 |
| 5h ago | SELL | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.38 | $41 |
| 5h ago | SELL | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.26 | $544 |
| 5h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.36 | $72 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.36 | $9 |
| 7h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.36 | $1 |
| 7h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.36 | $411 |
| 8h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.36 | $29 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.36 | $108 |
| 12h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.36 | $180 |
| 12h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.36 | $1 |
| 12h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.36 | $1 |
| 12h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.36 | $1 |
| 12h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.36 | $9 |
| 12h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.36 | $1 |
| 13h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.36 | $281 |
| 13h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.36 | $720 |
| 23h ago | SELL | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.64 | $4,407 |
| 23h ago | SELL | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.65 | $4,386 |
| 23h ago | SELL | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.65 | $1,543 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.35 | $4,865 |
| 25h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.34 | $93 |
| 26h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.34 | $8 |
| 26h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.34 | $126 |
| 28h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.34 | $40 |
| 30h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.34 | $3 |
| 31h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.34 | $170 |