BetterFish 76
0xc412fdbe9956c2e242e8b45fae131c3e8598592d · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2021-11
Realized PnL
$34,361
Months in profit
34 / 46
Win rate (events)
81%
ROI per market
0.3%
Avg stake
$441
Median hold
6.6 d
Volume
$1,911,323
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 1000 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2026-06-07); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
other 544 sports 266 politics 59 crypto 40 geopolitics 36 tech 20
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | BetterFish | SELL | Will MrBeast's next video get between 160 and 170 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.00 | $0 | other |
| 14h ago | BetterFish | SELL | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 0.02 | $3 | other |
| 14h ago | BetterFish | SELL | Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.02 | $45 | other |
| 29h ago | BetterFish | BUY | Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 104 million views on day 2? | No | 1.00 | $20 | other |
Open positions (100)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? | No | 7387 | 0.83 | 0.86 | $6,390 | $270 | other |
| Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31? | No | 3877 | 0.95 | 0.98 | $3,794 | $107 | other |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 2500 | 0.90 | 0.92 | $2,288 | $33 | esports |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2500 | 0.89 | 0.92 | $2,288 | $71 | esports |
| Blue wave in 2026? | Yes | 2500 | 0.84 | 0.82 | $2,062 | −$46 | other |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | No | 1620 | 0.90 | 0.96 | $1,555 | $104 | other |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | No | 1000 | 0.85 | 0.91 | $910 | $62 | other |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 742 | 0.89 | 0.94 | $697 | $34 | esports |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 755 | 0.76 | 0.91 | $689 | $114 | other |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 700 | 0.96 | 0.98 | $683 | $8 | esports |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 600 | 0.96 | 0.95 | $573 | −$1 | esports |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1? | Yes | 500 | 0.91 | 0.99 | $496 | $41 | other |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? | Yes | 1523 | 0.28 | 0.30 | $464 | $42 | politics |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 517 | 0.64 | 0.90 | $463 | $134 | other |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? | No | 488 | 0.60 | 0.94 | $460 | $165 | politics |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 400 | 0.90 | 0.96 | $386 | $26 | tech |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? | No | 1166 | 0.29 | 0.32 | $373 | $37 | politics |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 109 million views on day 3? | Yes | 360 | 0.58 | 1.00 | $360 | $150 | other |
| Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31? | No | 400 | 0.80 | 0.82 | $330 | $10 | politics |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | No | 333 | 0.93 | 0.98 | $328 | $18 | geopolitics |
| Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026? | No | 325 | 0.98 | 0.95 | $311 | −$7 | tech |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 326 | 0.87 | 0.92 | $298 | $16 | other |
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | No | 301 | 0.97 | 0.96 | $290 | −$3 | tech |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1? | Yes | 312 | 0.27 | 0.90 | $281 | $196 | other |
| Will gas hit $3.80 (Low) by October 31? | No | 296 | 0.96 | 0.95 | $281 | −$3 | crypto |
| Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 273 | 0.96 | 1.00 | $272 | $9 | esports |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 300 | 0.85 | 0.90 | $270 | $15 | esports |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 334 | 0.38 | 0.80 | $265 | $139 | politics |
| Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | Yes | 500 | 0.50 | 0.49 | $245 | −$5 | politics |
| Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | No | 250 | 0.89 | 0.86 | $215 | −$6 | politics |
| Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31? | No | 210 | 0.98 | 0.99 | $208 | $2 | other |
| New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? | No | 203 | 0.96 | 0.98 | $198 | $4 | other |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 190 and 200 million views on week 1? | No | 165 | 0.98 | 1.00 | $165 | $3 | other |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | No | 200 | 0.92 | 0.80 | $161 | −$23 | tech |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1? | No | 160 | 0.88 | 0.92 | $147 | $7 | other |
| Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | Yes | 226 | 0.21 | 0.51 | $114 | $67 | politics |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 200 million or more views on week 1? | No | 100 | 0.60 | 1.00 | $100 | $40 | other |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 200 | 0.29 | 0.40 | $79 | $20 | esports |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1000 | 0.24 | 0.07 | $65 | −$175 | macro |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat? | Yes | 597 | 0.10 | 0.10 | $60 | −$0 | politics |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10m ago | SELL | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.18 | $36 |
| 2h ago | SELL | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.18 | $36 |
| 2h ago | BUY | Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1? | No | 0.90 | $54 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? | Yes | 0.14 | $0 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.38 | $76 |
| 4h ago | SELL | Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.09 | $14 |
| 4h ago | SELL | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1? | No | 0.09 | $9 |
| 4h ago | SELL | Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.09 | $23 |
| 4h ago | SELL | Will MrBeast's next video get between 160 and 170 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.00 | $0 |
| 4h ago | SELL | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 0.03 | $0 |
| 4h ago | SELL | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 0.03 | $1 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.37 | $0 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.37 | $0 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.37 | $0 |
| 8h ago | SELL | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 0.03 | $1 |
| 8h ago | SELL | Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026? | No | 0.97 | $198 |
| 9h ago | SELL | Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026? | No | 0.97 | $18 |
| 9h ago | SELL | Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026? | No | 0.92 | $10 |
| 9h ago | SELL | Will Clarence Thomas be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? | No | 0.87 | $1 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat? | Yes | 0.09 | $4 |
| 11h ago | BUY | Will MrBeast's next video get between 112 and 115 million views on day 3? | No | 0.97 | $18 |
| 11h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.37 | $22 |
| 12h ago | SELL | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 0.03 | $1 |
| 12h ago | SELL | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 0.03 | $1 |
| 13h ago | SELL | Will Clarence Thomas be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? | No | 0.87 | $17 |
| 14h ago | BUY | Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.15 | $5 |
| 14h ago | BUY | Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.16 | $3 |
| 14h ago | BUY | Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.15 | $5 |
| 14h ago | BUY | Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.16 | $13 |
| 14h ago | BUY | Will MrBeast's next video get between 160 and 170 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.05 | $5 |
| 14h ago | BUY | Will MrBeast's next video get between 160 and 170 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.05 | $6 |
| 14h ago | BUY | Will MrBeast's next video get between 160 and 170 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.05 | $3 |
| 14h ago | BUY | Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.15 | $17 |
| 14h ago | BUY | Will MrBeast's next video get between 160 and 170 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.05 | $1 |
| 14h ago | BUY | Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.15 | $3 |
| 14h ago | BUY | Will MrBeast's next video get between 112 and 115 million views on day 3? | Yes | 0.00 | $1 |
| 14h ago | BUY | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 109 million views on day 3? | Yes | 0.92 | $28 |
| 14h ago | BUY | Will MrBeast's next video get between 109 and 112 million views on day 3? | No | 0.92 | $18 |
| 14h ago | SELL | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 0.02 | $3 |
| 14h ago | SELL | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 0.10 | $23 |