tourists 82
0xc6dd722558dbfbd8fa780efcbe819ed8c6604b9f · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2025-05
Realized PnL
$628,628
Months in profit
16 / 18
Win rate (events)
70%
ROI per market
1.5%
Avg stake
$46,033
Median hold
22.9 d
Volume
$52,628,472
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 922 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2025-05-16); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
other 303 geopolitics 259 tech 143 macro 58 esports 53 crypto 51
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades captured yet. The feed fills up as tracked wallets trade. | |||||||
Open positions (36)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 110000 | 0.91 | 0.92 | $100,650 | $1,050 | politics |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 78242 | 0.92 | 0.93 | $72,374 | $83 | other |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 75999 | 0.92 | 0.95 | $72,123 | $1,970 | other |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 30000 | 0.82 | 0.85 | $25,650 | $1,050 | geopolitics |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 40000 | 0.62 | 0.64 | $25,400 | $500 | politics |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 29229 | 0.78 | 0.78 | $22,653 | −$132 | esports |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 28742 | 0.80 | 0.78 | $22,418 | −$577 | politics |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 29054 | 0.75 | 0.77 | $22,386 | $680 | esports |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 10000 | 0.84 | 0.97 | $9,685 | $1,285 | other |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 10735 | 0.84 | 0.84 | $9,071 | $102 | tech |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 8023 | 0.97 | 0.99 | $7,911 | $145 | esports |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 7551 | 0.70 | 0.86 | $6,532 | $1,246 | other |
| Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? | No | 4722 | 0.89 | 0.96 | $4,538 | $333 | tech |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 4714 | 0.87 | 0.91 | $4,266 | $165 | other |
| Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | No | 4111 | 0.89 | 0.98 | $4,035 | $370 | macro |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 3594 | 0.88 | 1.00 | $3,578 | $417 | tech |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | No | 2137 | 0.85 | 0.88 | $1,870 | $54 | tech |
| Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? | No | 1580 | 0.90 | 0.98 | $1,549 | $135 | tech |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | No | 3465 | 0.81 | 0.43 | $1,507 | −$1,292 | other |
| Anduril IPO before 2027? | No | 1400 | 0.88 | 0.98 | $1,366 | $137 | macro |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 1263 | 0.87 | 0.97 | $1,224 | $125 | geopolitics |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | No | 1236 | 0.76 | 0.82 | $1,019 | $86 | tech |
| Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? | No | 443 | 0.90 | 0.92 | $407 | $7 | tech |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 896 | 0.60 | 0.20 | $184 | −$350 | other |
| Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 183 | 0.68 | 0.94 | $171 | $47 | crypto |
| Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | No | 320 | 0.34 | 0.28 | $91 | −$18 | other |
| Will JUUL relaunch Mango flavor by 2027? | No | 117 | 0.89 | 0.56 | $66 | −$39 | tech |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 10000 | 0.81 | 0.00 | $25 | −$8,075 | macro |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 146 | 0.34 | 0.04 | $6 | −$44 | other |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 3 | 0.40 | 0.36 | $1 | −$0 | politics |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 5 | 0.52 | 0.07 | $0 | −$2 | crypto |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 80300 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $0 | −$723 | macro |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | Yes | 22104 | 0.96 | 0.00 | $0 | −$21,162 | tech |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 9244 | 0.71 | 0.00 | $0 | −$6,529 | geopolitics |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | Yes | 2400 | 0.17 | 0.00 | $0 | −$410 | geopolitics |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | Yes | 1391 | 0.35 | 0.00 | $0 | −$487 | geopolitics |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18m ago | BUY | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 0.92 | $25 |
| 5h ago | BUY | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 0.92 | $20 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 0.92 | $2 |
| 7h ago | BUY | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 0.92 | $12 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 0.92 | $12 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 0.92 | $3 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 0.92 | $13 |
| 11h ago | BUY | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 0.92 | $13 |
| 11h ago | BUY | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 0.92 | $65 |
| 19h ago | BUY | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 0.92 | $1,254 |
| 21h ago | BUY | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 0.92 | $115 |
| 22h ago | BUY | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 0.92 | $812 |
| 22h ago | BUY | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 0.92 | $5 |
| 22h ago | BUY | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 0.92 | $877 |
| 22h ago | BUY | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 0.92 | $184 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.62 | $12,400 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.62 | $1,711 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.62 | $31 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.62 | $310 |
| 24h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.62 | $1,632 |
| 24h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.62 | $155 |
| 25h ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.62 | $2,362 |
| 30h ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.77 | $2,243 |
| 31h ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.77 | $15 |
| 31h ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.77 | $52 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.79 | $179 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.79 | $66 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.79 | $211 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.79 | $423 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.79 | $320 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.79 | $369 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.79 | $41 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.79 | $3,485 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 0.79 | $4,455 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.79 | $835 |
| 3d ago | SELL | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 0.76 | $7,600 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.63 | $6,300 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.78 | $857 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.78 | $129 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.78 | $526 |