0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 81
0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2025-10
Realized PnL
$280,854
Months in profit
11 / 13
Win rate (events)
63%
ROI per market
9.5%
Avg stake
$5,785
Median hold
9.1 d
Volume
$2,467,651
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 506 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2025-10-06); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
esports 220 politics 138 other 133 geopolitics 5 sports 5 weather 3
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades captured yet. The feed fills up as tracked wallets trade. | |||||||
Open positions (100)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 40003 | 0.36 | 0.51 | $20,241 | $5,883 | esports |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 27829 | 0.63 | 0.64 | $17,671 | $63 | politics |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 18030 | 0.85 | 0.89 | $16,038 | $685 | politics |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | No | 15959 | 0.85 | 0.96 | $15,353 | $1,737 | politics |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 18000 | 0.84 | 0.85 | $15,219 | $79 | politics |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 23483 | 0.65 | 0.64 | $14,912 | −$396 | politics |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 33007 | 0.31 | 0.39 | $12,708 | $2,551 | politics |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 20000 | 0.46 | 0.64 | $12,700 | $3,468 | politics |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat? | Yes | 10837 | 0.72 | 0.91 | $9,861 | $2,090 | politics |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? | Yes | 11993 | 0.74 | 0.80 | $9,534 | $654 | politics |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 9665 | 0.85 | 0.96 | $9,255 | $1,039 | politics |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | No | 9079 | 0.81 | 0.92 | $8,307 | $933 | politics |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? | No | 9479 | 0.73 | 0.81 | $7,630 | $681 | politics |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat? | Yes | 7305 | 0.87 | 0.90 | $6,538 | $178 | politics |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat? | Yes | 9086 | 0.69 | 0.69 | $6,315 | $50 | politics |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 15497 | 0.30 | 0.39 | $5,966 | $1,317 | politics |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat? | No | 5662 | 0.85 | 0.95 | $5,402 | $606 | politics |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat? | Yes | 5493 | 0.84 | 0.94 | $5,163 | $566 | politics |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat? | Yes | 5197 | 0.87 | 0.96 | $4,994 | $462 | politics |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? | Yes | 7956 | 0.40 | 0.59 | $4,734 | $1,551 | politics |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat? | No | 4787 | 0.84 | 0.94 | $4,524 | $497 | politics |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat? | Yes | 4698 | 0.88 | 0.96 | $4,517 | $378 | politics |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat? | Yes | 4424 | 0.87 | 0.97 | $4,302 | $450 | politics |
| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat? | No | 4266 | 0.88 | 0.98 | $4,189 | $427 | politics |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat? | No | 4115 | 0.88 | 0.98 | $4,033 | $409 | politics |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat? | No | 4007 | 0.90 | 0.99 | $3,953 | $360 | politics |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat? | Yes | 3893 | 0.87 | 0.97 | $3,767 | $362 | politics |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat? | Yes | 3952 | 0.84 | 0.95 | $3,752 | $440 | politics |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat? | Yes | 3785 | 0.88 | 0.95 | $3,614 | $271 | politics |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-14 House seat? | No | 3698 | 0.90 | 0.97 | $3,606 | $293 | politics |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 5555 | 0.59 | 0.64 | $3,527 | $247 | politics |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat? | Yes | 3827 | 0.82 | 0.92 | $3,515 | $388 | politics |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | Yes | 4924 | 0.76 | 0.70 | $3,471 | −$284 | politics |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3253 | 0.81 | 0.93 | $3,009 | $362 | politics |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat? | Yes | 3257 | 0.00 | 0.92 | $2,980 | $2,980 | politics |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat? | Yes | 3134 | 0.88 | 0.95 | $2,979 | $221 | politics |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? | Yes | 9599 | 0.29 | 0.31 | $2,976 | $189 | politics |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat? | Yes | 2959 | 0.87 | 0.98 | $2,890 | $314 | politics |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat? | Yes | 2978 | 0.88 | 0.97 | $2,888 | $256 | politics |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat? | Yes | 2959 | 0.89 | 0.96 | $2,827 | $198 | politics |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? | Yes | 0.16 | $3 |
| 35m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 0.80 | $163 |
| 41m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 0.85 | $671 |
| 49m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 0.80 | $907 |
| 50m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 0.80 | $400 |
| 50m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 0.80 | $365 |
| 53m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? | Yes | 0.16 | $0 |
| 58m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 0.85 | $865 |
| 61m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? | Yes | 0.16 | $56 |
| 61m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? | Yes | 0.16 | $3 |
| 61m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? | Yes | 0.16 | $5 |
| 61m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? | Yes | 0.16 | $3 |
| 61m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? | Yes | 0.16 | $8 |
| 61m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? | Yes | 0.16 | $6 |
| 62m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 0.80 | $728 |
| 66m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 0.85 | $1,672 |
| 67m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 0.85 | $1,124 |
| 68m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 0.85 | $2,303 |
| 70m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 0.85 | $43 |
| 70m ago | SELL | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? | No | 0.98 | $5,299 |
| 71m ago | SELL | Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat? | Yes | 0.98 | $1,855 |
| 72m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 0.85 | $29 |
| 72m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 0.85 | $34 |
| 72m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 0.86 | $164 |
| 72m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 0.85 | $84 |
| 72m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 0.85 | $137 |
| 72m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 0.82 | $244 |
| 73m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 0.83 | $4,408 |
| 73m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 0.84 | $101 |
| 74m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 0.84 | $101 |
| 74m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 0.84 | $101 |
| 74m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 0.84 | $101 |
| 74m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 0.84 | $97 |
| 74m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 0.84 | $101 |
| 76m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 0.84 | $449 |
| 77m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 0.85 | $2,545 |
| 78m ago | BUY | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 0.84 | $384 |
| 89m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 0.85 | $5,667 |
| 89m ago | BUY | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 0.85 | $17 |
| 89m ago | SELL | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 0.80 | $1,402 |