Dr.mett 78
0xe0dcc05376176f9f9e5160b9aae6f51e2ca93944 · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2024-06
Realized PnL
$15,220
Months in profit
23 / 29
Win rate (events)
92%
ROI per market
1.0%
Avg stake
$336
Median hold
21.2 d
Volume
$1,216,417
5m crypto share
1%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 990 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2026-04-01); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
other 495 sports 164 geopolitics 120 crypto 95 tech 44 macro 30
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31h ago | Dr.mett | BUY | Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.81 | $39 | geopolitics |
Open positions (57)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? | No | 2194 | 0.88 | 0.92 | $2,009 | $79 | other |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026? | No | 1971 | 0.82 | 0.83 | $1,636 | $26 | geopolitics |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Gianni Infantino by October 31, 2026? | No | 1715 | 0.72 | 0.79 | $1,354 | $123 | other |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? | No | 1311 | 0.97 | 0.97 | $1,277 | −$1 | other |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Anthropic by December 31? | No | 1148 | 0.92 | 0.96 | $1,103 | $51 | tech |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026? | No | 1209 | 0.92 | 0.88 | $1,070 | −$48 | other |
| Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? | Yes | 987 | 0.99 | 0.99 | $982 | $5 | other |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Meta by December 31? | No | 1005 | 0.91 | 0.96 | $968 | $54 | tech |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | No | 789 | 0.46 | 0.94 | $746 | $385 | other |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? | No | 677 | 0.97 | 0.98 | $663 | $8 | other |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? | No | 562 | 0.74 | 0.86 | $483 | $65 | other |
| Anthropic announces a full training pause in 2026? | No | 463 | 0.90 | 0.94 | $435 | $20 | weather |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by October 31, 2026? | No | 491 | 0.78 | 0.86 | $425 | $40 | other |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31? | No | 365 | 0.94 | 0.97 | $353 | $10 | crypto |
| DeepSeek announces a training pause by October 31? | No | 330 | 0.99 | 0.97 | $322 | −$4 | weather |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 225 | 0.94 | 0.97 | $217 | $6 | crypto |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | No | 183 | 0.97 | 0.98 | $179 | $2 | other |
| Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? | No | 180 | 0.90 | 0.96 | $172 | $10 | politics |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? | No | 168 | 0.83 | 0.97 | $162 | $23 | other |
| ByteDance announces a training pause by October 31? | No | 159 | 0.95 | 0.98 | $156 | $5 | weather |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | No | 173 | 0.40 | 0.90 | $155 | $86 | other |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | No | 152 | 0.65 | 0.93 | $141 | $42 | other |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $500B by December 31? | No | 130 | 0.98 | 0.96 | $125 | −$2 | crypto |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | No | 136 | 0.86 | 0.86 | $118 | $1 | tech |
| Will Anthropic list on another exchange? | No | 121 | 0.97 | 0.95 | $114 | −$2 | other |
| Alibaba announces a training pause by October 31? | No | 118 | 0.97 | 0.95 | $112 | −$2 | weather |
| DeepSeek matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | No | 116 | 0.79 | 0.95 | $110 | $19 | other |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | No | 105 | 0.64 | 0.96 | $101 | $34 | geopolitics |
| Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 0.93 | 0.94 | $94 | $1 | tech |
| Microsoft announces a training pause by October 31? | No | 85 | 0.96 | 0.98 | $84 | $2 | weather |
| Baidu matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | No | 82 | 0.79 | 0.99 | $82 | $17 | other |
| Z.ai matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | No | 80 | 0.83 | 0.97 | $78 | $11 | other |
| Mistral announces a training pause by October 31? | No | 71 | 0.95 | 0.95 | $68 | $0 | weather |
| Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | No | 70 | 0.83 | 0.91 | $63 | $5 | other |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 248 | 0.15 | 0.25 | $63 | $27 | other |
| SpaceXAI announces a full training pause in 2026? | No | 60 | 0.93 | 0.97 | $58 | $2 | tech |
| Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | No | 50 | 0.75 | 0.98 | $49 | $11 | other |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Javier Milei by October 31, 2026? | No | 60 | 0.77 | 0.80 | $48 | $2 | other |
| Meituan announces a training pause by October 31? | No | 48 | 0.98 | 0.98 | $47 | $0 | weather |
| Z.ai announces a training pause by October 31? | No | 48 | 0.98 | 0.97 | $46 | −$0 | weather |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | BUY | Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | No | 0.83 | $58 |
| 13h ago | SELL | Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.89 | $26 |
| 14h ago | SELL | Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.89 | $8 |
| 14h ago | SELL | Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.89 | $24 |
| 31h ago | BUY | Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.84 | $69 |
| 31h ago | BUY | Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.83 | $55 |
| 31h ago | BUY | Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.81 | $39 |
| 38h ago | BUY | Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.80 | $52 |
| 38h ago | BUY | Will Donald Trump publicly praise Javier Milei by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.77 | $46 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | Yes | 1.00 | $210 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Will Donald Trump visit Georgia before the midterms? | Yes | 1.00 | $30 |
| 4d ago | SELL | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 23? | Yes | 0.98 | $106 |
| 4d ago | SELL | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 23? | Yes | 0.98 | $90 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 23? | Yes | 0.94 | $188 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | Yes | 0.97 | $20 |
| 4d ago | SELL | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | No | 0.10 | $46 |
| 4d ago | SELL | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | No | 0.10 | $20 |
| 4d ago | SELL | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | No | 0.10 | $38 |
| 4d ago | SELL | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | No | 0.21 | $40 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | No | 0.16 | $28 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | No | 0.10 | $51 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | No | 0.10 | $50 |
| 4d ago | SELL | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | No | 0.28 | $17 |
| 4d ago | SELL | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | No | 0.28 | $15 |
| 4d ago | SELL | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | No | 0.28 | $25 |
| 4d ago | SELL | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | No | 0.39 | $109 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | No | 0.13 | $15 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | No | 0.13 | $15 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | No | 0.13 | $15 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | No | 0.13 | $15 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | No | 0.01 | $1 |
| 5d ago | SELL | Will Donald Trump visit Iowa before the midterms? | Yes | 1.00 | $83 |
| 5d ago | BUY | Will Donald Trump visit Iowa before the midterms? | Yes | 0.99 | $44 |
| 5d ago | BUY | Will Donald Trump visit Iowa before the midterms? | Yes | 0.99 | $18 |
| 5d ago | BUY | Will Donald Trump visit Iowa before the midterms? | Yes | 0.99 | $22 |
| 6d ago | BUY | Will Donald Trump publicly praise Gianni Infantino by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.70 | $188 |
| 6d ago | BUY | Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.83 | $176 |
| 6d ago | BUY | Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.85 | $1 |
| 6d ago | BUY | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Anthropic by December 31? | No | 0.96 | $142 |
| 6d ago | BUY | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | No | 0.92 | $23 |