shovelingdigging 77
0xe904443b4084bbda216e344353a44cd4324a2d9f · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2026-01
Realized PnL
$46,839
Months in profit
8 / 10
Win rate (events)
65%
ROI per market
6.0%
Avg stake
$800
Median hold
3.3 d
Volume
$656,819
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 965 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2026-01-04); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
culture 478 other 316 sports 80 geopolitics 37 crypto 25 macro 19
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9h ago | shovelingdigging | BUY | Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31? | Yes | 0.55 | $232 | culture |
| 31h ago | shovelingdigging | BUY | Will "Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31? | Yes | 0.33 | $7 | culture |
Open positions (32)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31? | Yes | 6592 | 0.95 | 0.99 | $6,497 | $257 | other |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 7625 | 0.80 | 0.84 | $6,390 | $280 | other |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31? | No | 4529 | 0.83 | 0.99 | $4,504 | $754 | other |
| Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? | Yes | 4075 | 0.75 | 0.87 | $3,545 | $497 | other |
| Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026? | Yes | 2888 | 0.88 | 0.92 | $2,654 | $113 | other |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 4628 | 0.60 | 0.56 | $2,615 | −$152 | other |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | Yes | 2826 | 0.53 | 0.78 | $2,201 | $700 | tech |
| Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 3629 | 0.50 | 0.55 | $1,978 | $148 | culture |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 7964 | 0.16 | 0.23 | $1,792 | $552 | esports |
| Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 US song this week? | Yes | 1493 | 0.77 | 0.99 | $1,473 | $324 | other |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? | Yes | 1302 | 0.74 | 0.94 | $1,229 | $262 | other |
| Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 27M in October? | No | 1157 | 0.89 | 0.99 | $1,150 | $122 | other |
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31? | No | 1439 | 0.66 | 0.78 | $1,115 | $169 | culture |
| Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 3632 | 0.15 | 0.27 | $979 | $443 | geopolitics |
| Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 2118 | 0.51 | 0.46 | $974 | −$111 | culture |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | Yes | 4064 | 0.20 | 0.20 | $833 | $31 | macro |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | Yes | 1321 | 0.16 | 0.63 | $826 | $619 | other |
| Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October? | No | 734 | 0.82 | 0.99 | $724 | $121 | other |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 6173 | 0.19 | 0.09 | $583 | −$594 | macro |
| Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31? | Yes | 759 | 0.62 | 0.76 | $577 | $108 | culture |
| Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October? | No | 581 | 0.74 | 0.99 | $576 | $146 | other |
| Will "Lies - Zach Bryan, Lana Del Rey" be the #1 US song this week? | No | 500 | 0.95 | 1.00 | $498 | $23 | other |
| Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 26M in October? | No | 485 | 0.84 | 0.98 | $474 | $69 | other |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 16 and 19 million views on day 1? | No | 421 | 0.75 | 1.00 | $420 | $105 | other |
| Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31? | Yes | 340 | 0.71 | 0.93 | $316 | $76 | culture |
| Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | Yes | 4090 | 0.12 | 0.05 | $186 | −$314 | other |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | No | 229 | 0.15 | 0.20 | $45 | $10 | macro |
| Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 252 | 0.16 | 0.16 | $40 | $1 | geopolitics |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 116m by October 31? | No | 40 | 0.86 | 0.98 | $40 | $5 | other |
| Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 643 | 0.04 | 0.06 | $36 | $8 | geopolitics |
| Will Confessions II (Madonna) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 526 | 0.04 | 0.05 | $27 | $3 | geopolitics |
| Will "Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31? | Yes | 624 | 0.33 | 0.03 | $16 | −$193 | culture |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | BUY | Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31? | Yes | 0.69 | $236 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.11 | $18 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31? | Yes | 0.71 | $546 |
| 8h ago | BUY | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 16 and 19 million views on day 1? | No | 0.75 | $286 |
| 8h ago | BUY | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.63 | $228 |
| 8h ago | BUY | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 16 and 19 million views on day 1? | No | 0.75 | $30 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31? | Yes | 0.55 | $232 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | Yes | 0.60 | $285 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Will "Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31? | Yes | 0.11 | $29 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 0.37 | $12 |
| 20h ago | SELL | Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 119m by October 31? | No | 0.99 | $1,555 |
| 21h ago | BUY | Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 0.35 | $502 |
| 21h ago | BUY | Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 0.37 | $3 |
| 21h ago | BUY | Spread: 49ers (-7.5) | Commanders | 0.52 | $200 |
| 21h ago | SELL | Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | Yes | 1.00 | $884 |
| 27h ago | BUY | Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 US song this week? | Yes | 0.85 | $381 |
| 30h ago | BUY | Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 US song this week? | Yes | 0.74 | $768 |
| 31h ago | BUY | Will "Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31? | Yes | 0.33 | $7 |
| 34h ago | SELL | Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 0.18 | $0 |
| 34h ago | SELL | Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 0.18 | $89 |
| 35h ago | BUY | Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31? | No | 0.55 | $238 |
| 35h ago | BUY | Will "Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31? | Yes | 0.50 | $123 |
| 40h ago | BUY | Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 0.06 | $0 |
| 40h ago | BUY | Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 0.06 | $0 |
| 41h ago | SELL | Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 0.21 | $6 |
| 43h ago | BUY | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | Yes | 0.38 | $6 |
| 43h ago | BUY | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | Yes | 0.38 | $2 |
| 44h ago | BUY | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | Yes | 0.38 | $23 |
| 45h ago | BUY | Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 0.06 | $1 |
| 45h ago | BUY | Spread: Chiefs (-7.5) | Chiefs | 0.48 | $200 |
| 47h ago | BUY | Will "Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31? | Yes | 0.50 | $25 |
| 47h ago | BUY | Will "Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31? | Yes | 0.50 | $5 |
| 48h ago | BUY | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | Yes | 0.38 | $4 |
| 2d ago | BUY | Will "Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31? | Yes | 0.50 | $20 |
| 2d ago | BUY | Cowboys vs. Packers | Cowboys | 0.50 | $200 |
| 2d ago | BUY | Spread: Patriots (-7.5) | Patriots | 0.47 | $200 |
| 2d ago | BUY | Spread: Saints (-1.5) | Saints | 0.48 | $200 |
| 2d ago | BUY | Spread: Ravens (-3.5) | Ravens | 0.47 | $200 |
| 2d ago | SELL | Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 116m by October 31? | No | 0.99 | $993 |
| 2d ago | BUY | Will "Lies - Zach Bryan, Lana Del Rey" be the #1 US song this week? | No | 0.95 | $475 |