GoriIIa 78
0xfffadf38a520cd5a0035ff52d7fceb436a08864b · polymarket.com ↗ · торгует с 2024-06
Реализованная прибыль
$539,876
Месяцев в плюсе
21 / 27
Побед (события)
72%
ROI на рынок
1.9%
Средняя ставка
$66,674
Медианный срок
15.1 д
Объём
$32,182,497
Доля 5-мин. крипто
0%
Процент побед, ROI и фокус посчитаны по 414 последним закрытым рынкам вне крипто (с 2024-06-24); прибыль и месяцы за всё время.
Прибыль по месяцам
Фокус
other 154 geopolitics 95 esports 61 sports 41 politics 25 macro 20
Сделки, пойманные нашей лентой
| Когда | Кошелёк | Сторона | Рынок | Исход | Цена | Размер | Кат. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Сделок пока нет. Лента наполняется по мере торговли отслеживаемых кошельков. | |||||||
Открытые позиции (25)
| Рынок | Сторона | Акций | Вход | Сейчас | Стоимость | PnL | Кат. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 255927 | 0.83 | 0.94 | $241,851 | $28,485 | other |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 206581 | 0.91 | 0.98 | $201,726 | $14,038 | geopolitics |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 43980 | 0.85 | 0.92 | $40,241 | $2,638 | esports |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 28820 | 0.94 | 0.95 | $27,523 | $528 | geopolitics |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 28213 | 0.85 | 0.89 | $24,968 | $879 | geopolitics |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 28164 | 0.83 | 0.87 | $24,601 | $1,161 | geopolitics |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 27191 | 0.89 | 0.84 | $22,976 | −$1,357 | politics |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | No | 12074 | 0.92 | 0.99 | $11,971 | $868 | other |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 10231 | 0.89 | 0.88 | $9,003 | −$102 | esports |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 9734 | 0.89 | 0.88 | $8,566 | −$97 | esports |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | No | 8285 | 0.85 | 0.90 | $7,415 | $394 | other |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 | No | 6620 | 0.97 | 0.97 | $6,392 | −$10 | other |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 6298 | 0.94 | 0.95 | $5,954 | $13 | other |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 7000 | 0.87 | 0.78 | $5,425 | −$665 | esports |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 4871 | 0.85 | 0.85 | $4,165 | $24 | geopolitics |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | No | 4411 | 0.94 | 0.94 | $4,146 | $0 | other |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5765 | 0.70 | 0.70 | $4,065 | $29 | politics |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5908 | 0.66 | 0.65 | $3,811 | −$89 | esports |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3800 | 0.87 | 0.85 | $3,249 | −$57 | macro |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? | No | 1238 | 0.95 | 0.98 | $1,210 | $30 | crypto |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1300 | 0.52 | 0.72 | $942 | $265 | other |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027? | No | 300 | 0.81 | 0.81 | $245 | $2 | other |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1098 | 0.46 | 0.20 | $218 | −$287 | other |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 7001 | 0.53 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,711 | esports |
| Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez | Mirra Andreeva | 900 | 0.45 | 0.00 | $0 | −$405 | sports |
Последняя активность
| Когда | Сторона | Рынок | Исход | Цена | Размер |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 ч назад | BUY | Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 0.88 | $9,363 |
| 5 ч назад | BUY | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 0.87 | $547 |
| 5 ч назад | BUY | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 0.94 | $510 |
| 5 ч назад | BUY | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.94 | $5,941 |
| 5 ч назад | BUY | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.94 | $4,146 |
| 5 ч назад | BUY | France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.85 | $9 |
| 5 ч назад | BUY | France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.85 | $7,013 |
| 5 ч назад | SELL | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 0.91 | $66,235 |
| 2 д назад | BUY | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027? | No | 0.81 | $243 |
| 2 д назад | BUY | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.87 | $3,306 |
| 2 д назад | BUY | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? | No | 0.95 | $1,181 |
| 2 д назад | BUY | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 | No | 0.97 | $27 |
| 2 д назад | BUY | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 | No | 0.97 | $33 |
| 3 д назад | BUY | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 | No | 0.97 | $484 |
| 3 д назад | BUY | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 | No | 0.97 | $5,767 |
| 4 д назад | BUY | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 | No | 0.97 | $91 |
| 4 д назад | SELL | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? | No | 0.00 | $3 |
| 5 д назад | BUY | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.64 | $192 |
| 5 д назад | BUY | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? | No | 0.71 | $946 |
| 7 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $46 |
| 7 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $1,400 |
| 7 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $7 |
| 7 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $0 |
| 7 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $7 |
| 7 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $70 |
| 7 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $14 |
| 7 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $5 |
| 7 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $2 |
| 7 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $1 |
| 8 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $4 |
| 8 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $3 |
| 8 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $5 |
| 8 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $16 |
| 8 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $70 |
| 8 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $4 |
| 8 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $3 |
| 8 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $14 |
| 8 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $287 |
| 8 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $113 |
| 8 д назад | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $49 |